• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0484

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, April 17, 2026 23:26:20
    ACUS11 KWNS 172326
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 172325=20
    ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-180130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0484
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0625 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

    Areas affected...Northwest Illinois

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 129...131...

    Valid 172325Z - 180130Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 129, 131 continues.

    SUMMARY...A transition to a predominantly linear storm mode is
    likely underway and will result in an uptick in severe wind
    potential as well as embedded mesovorticies downstream across
    central/northern Illinois.

    DISCUSSION...Imagery out of KDVN shows signs of cold pool
    consolidation and expansion as convection continues to cluster and
    grow upscale, likely indicating the transition from semi-discrete
    cells and clusters to a more consolidated linear storm mode. Over
    the next couple of hours one or more organized lines should emerge
    across central to north-central IL. This will be accompanied by an
    increase in severe wind potential as well as the possibility of
    embedded mesovorticies, especially given steadily strengthening
    low-level flow/improving wind shear noted in downstream VWPs.
    Localized corridors of enhanced wind, and perhaps tornado, potential
    are expected where line-preceding convection (noted in west-central
    IL) eventually intersect the developing line, and could result in
    localized surges accompanied by swaths of stronger (potentially
    significant) winds.

    ..Moore.. 04/17/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8hXBhF0byiS-Nuqa_dJ6T0CdYrrlBLq2HvdPWjP0dgUDAlI43_NUhUCsyqDuDnLA7cnMhwXpI= iULnTWDZNftFHdUxbU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...

    LAT...LON 40419175 40709132 41209087 41579060 41979046 42249042
    42359025 42528902 42488881 42368866 42168867 41868873
    41508878 41168882 40778894 40478917 40268950 40099007
    39999048 39989091 39989136 40039167 40169180 40259182
    40419175=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)