• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0478

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, April 17, 2026 20:07:57
    ACUS11 KWNS 172007
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 172007=20
    WIZ000-MNZ000-172100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0478
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0307 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

    Areas affected...northern Wisconsin

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 128...

    Valid 172007Z - 172100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 128
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat continues with WW128.

    DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues along the cold front
    within WW128. A mixed mode of clusters and isolated supercells
    continues. Hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter has been reported.
    The primary risk will be for large hail and damaging wind, given the
    decreasing moisture with northward extent fairly marginal low-level
    shear. However, a tornado cannot be ruled out, especially with any
    more discrete supercell. Through time, as the front shifts eastward
    the primary threat will shift to damaging wind.

    ..Thornton.. 04/17/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6uTiBAeefPOn0kdn-bV-PRHA6XALTmDFnv9o0DEfQbruTMsjQPcEPCEssJ5XSrgBpp-NyCdDi= LkcaXHIRgMg8Xi4Tfg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

    LAT...LON 47339208 45199285 44879254 44869078 45188997 45608988
    46038999 46669051 47459118 47339208=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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