ACUS11 KWNS 232004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232003=20
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-232130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0841
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Areas affected...Central/northern Mississippi...southeast Arkansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 241...

Valid 232003Z - 232130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 241
continues.

SUMMARY...Though becoming more isolated with time, damaging winds
will remain a concern into parts of northern Mississippi this
afternoon. Additional watches are not expected.

DISCUSSION...Trends in MRMS CAPPI data have shown a gradual downward
trend in the intensity of the convective line moving north through
Mississippi. This trend is expected to continue as greater effective
shear values lift northward with time. That said, upper 60s F
dewpoints in parts of northern Mississippi are supporting 2000 J/kg
MLCAPE and low-level lapse rates are at least modestly steep. Wind
damage will remain possible with the convective line as it lifts
north, but this potential should become more isolated with time.

..Wendt.. 05/23/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!53RhfTgaZ-M0Ay6YuR1D91msWu9v0OYEls25wVYRle8234gRXWh4GrensWUeqIKMNyPFGC1ZD= T0C_tE-hUlcFgp8TrE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON 33798860 33268858 32888895 32538937 32529008 32839094
33029181 33409177 34189110 34168973 33798860=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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