• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0772

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, May 18, 2026 18:51:20
    ACUS11 KWNS 181851
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 181850=20
    OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-182015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0772
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0150 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

    Areas affected...Western Indiana into Eastern Ohio

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 220...

    Valid 181850Z - 182015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 220
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms persist and are progressing eastward
    across WW 220. They will continue to be capable of primarily
    damaging wind gusts. Conditions are being monitored for a new WW
    issued east of WW 220.

    DISCUSSION...A line of severe thunderstorms continues to progress
    across WW 220. Though the expectation is that the line should begin
    to weaken with eastward extent, it will still be capable of damaging
    wind gusts of 55-70 MPH within WW 220. Conditions will continue to
    be monitored for a new WW eastward into Ohio, though uncertainty
    exists in the convective longevity. Though the instability generally
    decreases with eastward extent, the well-established cold-pool could
    aid in persisting convection further east than the current WW 220
    boundary.

    ..Halbert.. 05/18/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_oZjOBqvY-D4bYEO4-ziKdLRfOaTNmaCUWIuUlsRiDIgaKXW15MGTSIaq4p45Hz5GilYUqElS= e4NokNlT3HT5aVcv98$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...

    LAT...LON 39398604 39398620 39498680 39738654 40458605 40828578
    41118562 41508561 42008568 42098551 42058498 42028458
    41858403 41688362 41368311 40938303 40348321 39768352
    39358400 39208437 39238519 39278552 39398604=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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