• 3 Day Space Weather Forecast

    From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Wednesday, April 01, 2026 00:19:02
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Apr 01 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 01-Apr 03 2026 is 6.33 (NOAA Scale
    G2).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 01-Apr 03 2026

    Apr 01 Apr 02 Apr 03
    00-03UT 3.00 4.33 3.67
    03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 3.33
    06-09UT 6.33 (G2) 3.33 3.00
    09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 3.00
    12-15UT 4.33 3.00 3.00
    15-18UT 4.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00
    18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33
    21-00UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67

    Rationale: G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storming levels are likely with a
    chance for isolated G3 (Strong) storm levels possible 01 Apr due to
    effects from the CME associated with 30 Mar X1.4 major flare event.
    Active to G1 (Minor) levels are anticipated to continue into 02 Apr as
    CME effects wane alongside the forecasted onset of CH HSS activity which
    is likely to cause unsettled to active levels on 03 Apr.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 01-Apr 03 2026

    Apr 01 Apr 02 Apr 03
    S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
    flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels through 03 Apr
    due to the X1.4 flare at 30/0319 UTC and anticipated arrival of its
    associated CME alongside the complexity and evolution of the active
    regions currently on the solar disk.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 01-Apr 03 2026

    Apr 01 Apr 02 Apr 03
    R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
    R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

    Rationale: Solar activity is likely to reach Minor-Moderate (R1-R2)
    levels, with a slight chance for X-class flares (R3/Strong) through 03
    Apr due to the complexity and evolution of the active regions currently
    on the solar disk.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sunday, April 05, 2026 00:19:01
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Apr 05 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
    G1).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 05-Apr 07 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 05-Apr 07 2026

    Apr 05 Apr 06 Apr 07
    00-03UT 3.67 2.67 2.67
    03-06UT 3.33 3.00 2.67
    06-09UT 3.00 2.67 2.67
    09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
    12-15UT 2.67 2.00 0.67
    15-18UT 2.00 1.67 0.67
    18-21UT 2.00 1.67 1.67
    21-00UT 2.67 2.67 2.67

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 05-Apr 07 2026

    Apr 05 Apr 06 Apr 07
    S1 or greater 20% 20% 20%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
    flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels over 05-07 Apr.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Apr 04 2026 0117 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 05-Apr 07 2026

    Apr 05 Apr 06 Apr 07
    R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
    R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
    slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, over 05-07 Apr, driven primarily by the flare potential of Region 4409.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Wednesday, April 08, 2026 00:19:01
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2026 Apr 08 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 08-Apr 10 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 08-Apr 10 2026

    Apr 08 Apr 09 Apr 10
    00-03UT 2.33 3.33 2.33
    03-06UT 2.00 3.00 5.00 (G1)
    06-09UT 1.67 1.67 4.67 (G1)
    09-12UT 1.33 1.00 3.67
    12-15UT 0.67 0.67 2.67
    15-18UT 2.00 1.33 2.67
    18-21UT 2.33 1.33 3.67
    21-00UT 3.00 1.67 4.00

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are likely on 10 Apr
    due to a new positive polarity coronal hole stream influence.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 08-Apr 10 2026

    Apr 08 Apr 09 Apr 10
    S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
    flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels 08-10 Apr.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 08-Apr 10 2026

    Apr 08 Apr 09 Apr 10
    R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
    R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
    with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events 08-10 Apr.


    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)